NFL odds picks predictions Expert model projects Ravens handle Chiefs 49ers top Lions in championship games
NFL odds picks predictions Expert model projects Ravens handle Chiefs 49ers top Lions in championship games
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The Super Bowl winner from the 2023 season will officially be one of the Ravens, Chiefs, 49ers or Lions.The Ravens kicked off the divisional round Tottenham Hotspur Jersey of the playoffs by decimating the Texans. San Francisco then survived a potential upset against the No. 7-seeded Packers. The Lions then kept their breakout season going by topping the Buccaneers. And the weekend ended with the Chiefs again ending the Bills' season after Tyler Ba s mi sed a potential game-tying field goal in the final minutes of the game.Playing for the conference championship will be the Ravens, the best team from the 2023 season, hosting the Chiefs, who are looking to make it two straight road wins after not having played on the road in the Patrick Mahomes era. Then, the 49ers will play in their third straight conference championship, hoping to prevent the Lions from reaching their first since 1991.MORE NFL PICKS: | | Each week, Sporting News' model will project every game in the NFL 10,000 times to generate the number of times a team wins a matchup and calculate the win probability. The model adjusts after each week as it learns more about each team and that team's quarterback.Listed for each game is its projected spread, according to the model, and a team's win probability. We've also included updated playoff and Super Bowl odds at the bottom. The odds listed with each game are not based on bookmakers, but rather how the model sees the game playing out. We will then compare the model's odds with those from , to see how bookmakers are seeing the week's games.Here's how the model sees the conference championships shaping up.Chiefs vs. Ravens (-9)Win probability:77.5%, RavensSporting News' model made the Ravens a 17-point favorite over the Texans in the divisional round. Somehow, Baltimore covered that spread. The Ravens are again a sizable favorite, this time as 9-point favorites over the Chiefs in Serbia Jersey the model's eyes.Caesars are also favoring Baltimore, but much closer as just 3.5-point favorites. Lamar Jackson ended the narrative of his playoff struggles by continuing the recent throttling of standout teams. But Mahomes has lost only one playoff game by more than six points, which was the team's Super Bowl lo s to the Buccaneers. Another blowout win by the Ravens would be a major exclamation point on what has been a standout season for the Ravens.Lions vs. 49ers (-4)Win probability:64.2%, 49ersThe 49ers have been about as consistent a powerhouse in the NFC as it gets in recent years. San Francisco has made it to the NFC championship in four of the past five seasons. However, in back-to-back years, those championship appearances have ended right there. To get back to the Super Bowl, the 49ers will need to get past a young Lions team that is on the up-and-up.Detroit has emerged from a long rebuilding period to have its most succe sful season since the early 1991, with Ecuador Jersey Dan Campbell and Jared Goff leading the way for the team. The model has grown more bullish on the Lions as the season has progre sed, and is giving Detroit a reasonable shot at taking down the 49ers in the NFC championship, setting the line with the Lions as 4-point underdogs. In a reversal from the Ravens' line, Caesars has San Francisco as stronger favorites, listing them a full 7 points over Detroit.TeamConf win%SB win%Ravens77.5%45%49ers64.2%31.4%Lions35.8%16.1%Chiefs22.5%7.5%
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